Received 2025-07-01

Revised 2025-08-14

Accepted 2025-09-17

Scoping Review of Predictors and Risk Factors for Acute Myocardial Infarction in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease

Roohollah Rahbani 1, Farid Taghavi 2, Mohsen Abbasnezhad 2, Mehdi Maleki 2, Leila Liaghat 3,

Hamid Ghazipoor 3

1 I.M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University, Moscow, Russia

2 Cardiovascular Research Center, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran

3 Department of Family Medicine, School of Medicine, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran

Abstract

Background: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) significantly elevates the risk of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and associated mortality, with cardiovascular disease accounting for approximately 40% of deaths in CKD patients. Diagnostic and therapeutic challenges arise due to altered biomarker profiles and underutilization of interventions like percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). This systematic review aims to identify and evaluate predictors of AMI in CKD patients, focusing on clinical, biochemical, demographic, and lifestyle-related risk factors to inform targeted prevention strategies. Materials and Methods: Following PRISMA guidelines, a systematic search was conducted across PubMed, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library up to August 14, 2025, using MeSH terms like “chronic kidney disease” and “myocardial infarction.” Included studies involved adult CKD patients, assessing predictors through observational designs or relevant randomized controlled trial subgroup analyses. Data were extracted by two independent reviewers, with study quality assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Narrative synthesis was employed due to heterogeneity. Results: Twenty studies (54–911,360 participants) identified dyslipidemia, inflammatory (CRP, IL-6) and cardiac biomarkers (NT-proBNP, hs-cTnT), lower eGFR, albuminuria, advanced CKD stage, hypertension, prior AMI, and older age as key AMI predictors. Risk scores (GRACE, PRECISE-DAPT) and novel indices (TyG, TyG-BMI) showed high predictive accuracy. Conclusion: Comprehensive risk assessment integrating biomarkers, clinical factors, and novel indices can enhance AMI prediction and guide interventions in CKD patients, addressing therapeutic underutilization.

[GMJ.2026;15:e4090] DOI:4090

Keywords: Chronic Kidney Disease; Myocardial Infarction; Predictors; Biomarkers; Risk Scores; Dyslipidemia; Inflammation

Introduction

CKD significantly increases the incidence of AMI, with a rate of 2.5 cases per 1000 people per year in CKD stages G3–G5 [1]. Patients with CKD face a higher risk of short- and long-term mortality following non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction, with hazard ratios of 1.24 at 30 days, 1.47 at 1 year, and 1.55 at 5 years compared to non-CKD patients [2]. Cardiovascular disease accounts for approximately 40% of deaths in CKD patients, with sudden cardiac death comprising up to 60% in dialysis patients [3].

The diagnostic pathway for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) differs significantly from that in non-CKD patients due to altered biomarker profiles. Chronically elevated high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) in CKD reduces the diagnostic specificity for AMI [4]. Percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is underutilized in this population despite its ability to reduce mortality across CKD stages [5]. Lower utilization of aspirin and reperfusion therapies in severe CKD contributes to higher mortality rates [6]. Preventive measures, such as statin therapy, are underutilized in CKD patients despite reducing cardiovascular events by 22% in non-dialysis-dependent patients [7]. Patients with CKD are less likely to receive P2Y12 inhibitors, invasive angiography, percutaneous coronary intervention, or cardiac rehabilitation, contributing to worse outcomes [2]. In acute settings, peak hs-cTnI outperforms hs-cTnT for diagnosing coronary artery disease in CKD [8]. Serial hs-cTnI measurements improve non-ST-elevation AMI diagnosis in CKD [9]. Serial hs-cTn changes, combined with risk scores and adjusted biomarkers, could guide timely interventions like PCI to address therapeutic underutilization and reduce mortality in CKD patients [4,5].

Risk factors for AMI in CKD include advanced CKD stage, older age, male sex, hypertension, and low educational level, while prior AMI significantly increases the risk of subsequent events [1]. Hemodialysis exacerbates AMI risk through immune dysfunction, lipid metabolism disorders, and vascular calcification, necessitating targeted prevention strategies [10]. Statin treatment is recommended for CKD patients over 50 with estimated glomerular filtration rates below 60 mL/min/1.73m² to mitigate coronary risk [7]. In case of prevention and prediction of risk of MI in CKD, while many studies are performed in this era, there isn’t any comprehensive reviewing paper for this.

Methodology

This systematic review was performed in adherence to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines on electronic databases, including PubMed/MEDLINE, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library, from inception up to August 14th 2025. Only studies published in English were included. Gray literature sources were not retrieved.

The search strategy combined Medical Subject Headings (MeSH) terms like”chronic kidney disease,” “CKD,” “end-stage renal disease,” “ESRD,” “kidney failure,” and “myocardial infarction,” “MI,” “acute coronary syndrome,” and “predictors,” “risk factors,” “prognostic factors,” “biomarkers,” and “AUC.” Boolean operators (AND, OR) were used to refine queries, and filters for human studies and observational or cohort designs were applied where possible. An example PubMed search string was: (“chronic kidney disease” OR CKD OR “end-stage renal disease” OR ESRD) AND (“myocardial infarction” OR MI) AND (predictors OR “risk factors” OR prognostic). Reference lists of included studies and relevant reviews were hand-searched for additional eligible articles. Studies were selected based on predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria of studies about dult patients (≥18 years) diagnosed with CKD or ESRD, considering any predictor factors, including clinical (hypertension, diabetes), biochemical (e.g., inflammatory markers, lipid profiles), demographic (age, sex), or lifestyle-related variables associated with MI risk. Observational studies (prospective or retrospective cohorts, case-control, cross-sectional) reporting multivariable analyses (e.g., hazard ratios, odds ratios) for predictors of MI. Randomized controlled trials were considered if they included relevant subgroup analyses on predictors. Exclusion criteria encompassed: (i) case reports, case series, editorials, or reviews without original data; (ii) studies exclusively on pediatric populations or animal models; (iii) investigations focusing solely on non-MI cardiovascular outcomes (like stroke or heart failure without MI-specific data).

Study Selection Process and Data Extraction

Two independent reviewers screened titles and abstracts for relevance after deleting duplicated records. Full-text articles of potentially eligible studies were retrieved and assessed and disagreements were resolved through discussion or consultation with a third reviewer. The selection process is documented in PRISMA flow diagram using Haddaway et al. 2022 [11] online tool (Figure-1). Data were extracted independently by two reviewers using Microsoft Excel. Due to anticipated heterogeneity in predictor definitions and study designs, a narrative synthesis was primarily employed to summarize findings. As this study was used for scoping the literature, the quality assessment was not performed.

Results

The study identification process involved screening 1,354 records from databases like PubMed/MEDLINE, Embase, Scopus, and Web of Science, with 691 duplicates removed and 590 excluded after initial review, leaving 235 records for full text assessment. After evaluating them reports for eligibility, 20 studies were ultimately included in the scoping review, excluding those not focused on CKD/ESRD or lacking prognostic data on myocardial infarction.

The scoping review included 20 studies, primarily prospective and retrospective cohort designs, focusing on CVD and mortality predictors in CKD and ESRD patients. Sample sizes ranged from 54 to 911,360 participants, with objectives centered on evaluating biomarkers, risk scores, and clinical factors for MI, CVD events, and mortality. Key biomarkers assessed included lipid profiles (TG/HDL-C, LDL-C, apoB/apoA-1), inflammatory markers (CRP, IL-6), cardiac markers (NT-proBNP, troponin T), and metabolic indices (TyG, eGDR, CTI). Studies consistently found that dyslipidemia, elevated inflammatory and cardiac biomarkers, lower eGFR, albuminuria, and clinical factors like age, hypertension, and prior MI were associated with increased MI. Risk scores like GRACE and PRECISE-DAPT showed high predictive accuracy for ischemic and bleeding outcomes, while novel indices like TyG-BMI and CTI demonstrated linear and nonlinear associations with adverse outcomes (Table-1).

Evidence synthesis from core studies and literature

Biological Pathways in MI Prediction

The interplay of lipid ratios, such as apoB/apoA-1, emerges as a stronger predictor of MI than traditional lipid markers, though this predictive power diminishes in advanced CKD stages. Inflammation and cardiac stress pathways further intertwine and biomarkers like IL-6, NT-pro-BNP, and hs-cTnT show the role of systemic inflammation and cardiac strain in CKD-MI patients [6, 12-17, 26]

Community-Based CKD and MI Risk

In populations with pre-existing cardiovascular disease, CKD significantly heightens MI risk, often embedded within broader cardiovascular event patterns.

The uremic environment in CKD accelerates plaque rupture through oxidative stress and vascular calcification, increasing MI incidence compared to non-CKD counterparts. Regional studies, particularly in diverse settings like India, shows how socioeconomic factors and prevalent conditions like hypertension and dyslipidemia exacerbate MI risk, revealing disparities in predictor impacts across global cohorts, as also established in other researchers [31-34].

Glycemic Control

CKD patients with diabetes face heightened MI risk due to poor glycemic control, which fosters endothelial damage and thrombosis through insulin resistance. Healthy lifestyle factors can mitigate some risks in early CKD, but advanced stages show limited benefits. Intensive management of blood sugar, blood pressure, and use of RAS inhibitors can disrupt harmful cardiorenal cycles and would reduce MI risk in early CKD [34-37]. Biomarkers reflecting inflammation and cardiac stress, alongside markers like carotid intima-media thickness, signal heightened MI risk, particularly in advanced CKD where silent ischemia and diastolic dysfunction are prevalent [38-40,35,19-23].

Advanced CKD and Heart Failure Synergies

Advanced CKD, particularly when paired with heart failure, sharply elevates MI risk, driven by hypoxic and inflammatory mechanisms. Cardiovascular mortality trends show declines but persistent CKD-related excess risk, with variations across ethnic groups and regions, such as rural areas or Asian cohorts. Unique predictors, like albuminuria or even cultural factors such as herbal medicine use, further stratify risk, highlighting the importance of comprehensive management strategies that address multifaceted CKD profiles to reduce MI incidence [41-45].

Lipid Profiles and Novel Indices

Elevated triglycerides and lipid ratios like TG/HDL-C play a critical role in MI risk among CKD patients by promoting atherogenesis and endothelial dysfunction.

The Triglyceride-Glucose (TyG) index and its variants, such as TyG-BMI, serve as valuable markers for insulin resistance and cardiovascular outcomes, showing nonlinear associations with mortality. Inflammation-integrated indices like the C-reactive protein-TyG index further enhance risk prediction, emphasizing the need for deeper mechanistic studies to refine MI prevention strategies in CKD. [39, 34, 24-30]

Discussion

In case of biological pathways evaluation in predicting MI, Fox et al. (2010) [6] showed that CKD severity escalates in-hospital mortality in STEMI and NSTEMI, with odds ratios from 2.49 (stage 3a) to 7.97 (stage 5) in STEMI patients, tied to reduced PCI use. Holzmann et al. (2010) [13] found the apoB/apoA-1 ratio strongly predicts MI in CKD (HR 3.35), surpassing conventional lipids, though Tonelli et al. (2013) [15] noted LDL-C’s predictive power weakens in advanced CKD (HR 2.06 for GFR 15–59.9 ml/min/1.73 m²). Biomarkers show interconnected inflammatory and cardiac stress pathways in CKD-MI patients. Sun et al. (2016) [16] identified IL-6 as a robust predictor of CVD and mortality in stage 5 CKD (RR 1.10). Khan et al. (2006) [17] found NT-pro-BNP and BNP indicate CAD and LVH (AUC 0.80–0.82), tying to Chen et al. (2023) [46], where hs-cTnT (OR 2.82) and CK-MB (OR 4.91) predict mortality in CKD-AMI, suggesting integrated biomarker strategies could clarify diagnoses amidst inflammation. Fu et al. (2021) [12] developed a risk score (AUC 0.895) outperforming GRACE for ESRD-AMI mortality, incorporating CRP and D-dimer, while Chen et al. (2022) [14] found GRACE (AUC 0.791) and PRECISE-DAPT (AUC 0.636) predict ischemic and bleeding risks.
In community-based cohorts with preexisting CVD, CKD emerges as a potent amplifier of MI risk, often embedded within recurrent CVD composites. Weiner et al. (2004) [31] pooled data from four longitudinal studies encompassing 4,278 subjects, revealing that CKD (eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m²) heightened the incidence of MI and fatal coronary heart disease (CHD) to 30.6% versus 17.8% in non-CKD counterparts, with an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 1.32 (95% CI 1.12-1.55) for the CHD-specific outcome, suggesting uremic milieu accelerates plaque rupture through oxidative stress and calcification. This aligns with Glynn
et al. (2007) [32], where each 10 mL/min eGFR decline correlated with a 20% MI-inclusive composite risk escalation, yet Weiner et al. (2004) [31] deepen the interpretation by emphasizing CKD’s independent role post-adjustment for traditional factors like hypertension and dyslipidemia, contrasting less pronounced effects in primary prevention cohorts like Di Angelantonio et al. (2010) [33]. Meanwhile, Samal (2024) [34] in an Indian observational study of 68 CKD patients reported a 10.3% MI incidence over five years, attributing it to hypertension (P<0.01) and dyslipidemia (P<0.05), highlighting regional disparities where socioeconomic barriers may exacerbate predictor impacts compared to Western cohorts.
Predictors of MI in CKD extend beyond traditional risks to include glycemic control and metabolic syndromes, with diabetic subgroups facing compounded threats. Ricks
et al. (2012) [35] in a 54,757 hemodialysis cohort with diabetes found poor glycemic control (A1C ≥8%) linked to elevated cardiovascular mortality (HR 1.11-1.59), interpreting high A1C as a proxy for insulin resistance fostering endothelial glycation and thrombosis, thus predisposing to MI. Comparatively, Wakasugi et al. (2021) [36] in a Japanese population-based study of 262,011 participants showed CKD modified lifestyle-mortality associations, with diabetes and metabolic syndrome synergistically raising cardiovascular death risk (HR up to 2.00), yet healthy behaviors mitigated MI-inclusive outcomes by 22% per additional factor, suggesting preventive potential absent in advanced CKD like Ricks et al. (2012) [35]. Ling et al. (2024) [37] in a Chinese multi-center cohort of 6,222 CVD patients with CKD demonstrated that intensive glycemic (HbA1c) and blood pressure control plus RAS inhibitors eliminated excess all-cause mortality in early CKD stages (aHR 0.79-0.99), deeply interpreting this as interrupting cardiorenal feedback loops that otherwise amplify MI via hyperglycemia-induced vascular stiffness, contrasting higher residual risks in non-diabetic advanced CKD as per Kofod et al. (2023) [38].
Advanced CKD stages and comorbid heart failure (HF) further stratify MI risk, with temporal and ethnic variations underscoring evolving predictors. Yu
et al. (2023) [41] in 76,688 incident CKD patients noted HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) spiked one-year cardiovascular mortality (HR 11.47), including MI, through hypoxic and inflammatory mechanisms, while Kobo et al. (2023) [42] analyzed US trends from 1999-2020 showing a 7.1% CV mortality decline yet persistent CKD-attributable excess, with rural shifts and ethnic disparities (e.g., 38.6% reduction in Black patients). Ryu et al. (2021) [43] in a Korean predialysis cohort of 2,179 reported 17.2 per 1000 person-years CVD incidence (including MI), escalating with stage (P=0.001), and predictors like albuminuria mirroring Kofod et al. (2023) [38], but Wen et al. (2008) [44] in Taiwan’s 462,293 adults attributed 10.3% all-cause deaths to CKD, with herbal medicine use as a novel predictor (OR 1.20), interpreting cultural exposures as modifiable inflammation drivers for MI. Tsai et al. (2025) [45] extended this via CKM syndrome in 515,602 participants, where each component (CKD, diabetes) added 37% CV mortality risk (HR 1.37), comparing favorably to Yu et al. (2023) [41] by quantifying 11% missed CVD deaths without CKD inclusion, advocating integrated management to curb MI in multifaceted CKD profiles.

Diabetes heightens MI risk in chronic CKD patients through synergistic mechanisms. Hyperglycemia induces endothelial dysfunction via oxidative stress and inflammation, accelerating atherosclerosis and plaque instability, particularly in CKD stages 3-5 [39]. Insulin resistance in diabetic CKD promotes dyslipidemia and vascular stress, increasing 1-year cardiovascular mortality risk, including MI, by 1.1- to 2.8-fold [38]. Poor glycemic control (A1C ≥8%) in hemodialysis patients exacerbates vascular calcification and platelet dysfunction, elevating MI risk (HR 1.11-1.59) [35]. CKD amplifies these effects through proteinuria and reduced eGFR, correlating with higher cardiovascular events [20,21]. Biomarkers like NT-proBNP and C-reactive protein (AUC 0.80-0.89) reflect heightened inflammation and cardiac stress in diabetic CKD [40]. Increased carotid intima-media thickness (HR 2.9) signals atherosclerosis-driven MI risk [18]. Diastolic dysfunction (Farshid et al., 2013) [19] and silent myocardial ischemia [22] are more prevalent in advanced CKD, worsening outcomes. Insulin resistance, measured by eGDR, further predicts cardiovascular events in CKD (Peng et al., 2024) [23].
Betriu
et al. (2014) [39] noted elevated triglycerides as a significant predictor of plaque presence in CKD stage 3, promoting atherogenesis through lipid deposition. Samal (2024) [34] corroborated dyslipidemia (P<0.05) as a predictor of MI in an Indian CKD cohort, emphasizing lipid-driven plaque progression. The Triglyceride-Glucose (TyG) index, calculated as Ln[triglycerides (mg/dL) × fasting plasma glucose (mg/dL)/2], serves as a surrogate marker for insulin resistance and has emerged as a predictor of cardiovascular outcomes in chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients [24]. In ICU-admitted CKD patients with coronary artery disease (CAD), elevated TyG levels nonlinearly correlate with increased in-hospital and one-year mortality risks, highlighting its utility for risk stratification and intervention development [24]. Similarly, the TyG-body mass index (TyG-BMI) demonstrates a U-shaped association with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in CKD, with thresholds at 299.31 and 294.85, respectively, underscoring its prognostic value over TyG alone [26].
Related lipid ratios, such as triglyceride/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-C), further support this framework. In advanced CKD, TG/HDL-C linearly predicts major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs) and all-cause mortality, independent of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) [27]. Among incident hemodialysis patients, higher TG/HDL-C ratios paradoxically associate with improved survival, contrasting general populations and emphasizing CKD-specific pathophysiology [29]. In broader CKD cohorts, TG/HDL-C independently determines endothelial dysfunction and cardiovascular events, mediated by factors like asymmetric dimethylarginine and parathyroid hormone [30]. The C-reactive protein-TyG index (CTI) extends this by integrating inflammation, showing nonlinear links to CVD incidence and linear associations with mortality in early cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic syndrome stages, with a 111% mortality risk increase per unit rise [28]. Elevated triglycerides and reduced HDL-C also independently predict advanced CKD onset, reinforcing dyslipidemia’s role [25]. Collectively, these indices enhance myocardial infarction and mortality prediction in CKD, warranting mechanistic studies [24-27].

Conclusion

Beyond cataloging risk factors, future studies must develop sophisticated, data-driven models, integrating machine learning, wearable biosensors, and real-time health record analytics, to enable precise, proactive risk stratification. Such tools could transform clinical practice by predicting AMI onset early, allowing tailored interventions that curb morbidity in this high-risk group. Research should emphasize multi-center, prospective trials to validate predictive algorithms in diverse clinical contexts. These efforts could bridge care disparities, particularly in underserved populations where CKD and socioeconomic barriers amplify risk.

Conflict of Interest

None.

GMJ

Copyright© 2026, Galen Medical Journal.

This is an open-access article distributed

under the terms of the Creative Commons

Attribution 4.0 International License

(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)

Email:gmj@salviapub.com

Correspondence to:

Hamid Ghazipoor, Department of Family Medicine, School of Medicine, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran.

Telephone Number: (+98 71) 36125784

Email Address: hamidghazipoor@gmail.com

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Figure 1. PRISMA flowchart of systematic review study selection process

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Table 1. included studies in this review

Study

Study Design

Sample

Objective

Biomarkers

Conclusion

Fu et al. 2021 [12]

Retrospective cohort

113 ESRD + AMI patients on hemodialysis

Establish RS model to predict in-hospital mortality in ESRD + AMI

CRP, LVEF, age, HR, D-dimer

RS (0-8) → ↑ accuracy (AUC 0.895 > GRACE 0.754); CRP ≥14.2/L, LVEF ≤43%, age ≥65, HR ≥86 bpm, D-dimer ≥2.4 → ↑ mortality risk

Holzmann et al. 2010 [13]

Prospective cohort

142,394 middle-aged Swedes; CKD as GFR 15-60 mL/min/1.73m²

Evaluate dyslipidemia as MI predictor in CKD vs non-CKD

ApoB/apoA-1 ratio, TC/HDL ratio, non-HDL cholesterol

Dyslipidemia ratios → ↑ MI risk (HR 2.88-3.54 Q4 vs Q1); apoB/apoA-1 → superior prediction; CKD/no CKD similar strength

Kampmann et al. 2022 [1]

Retrospective cohort

66,486 CKD stage G3–5 patients

evaluate CKD stages and risk factors for AMI

eGFR, age, sex, hypertension, educational level, prior AMI

CKD G4 (HR 1.402) and G5 (HR 1.491) ↑ AMI risk; prior AMI (HR 2.615), age, male sex, hypertension, low education ↑ risk; female sex, higher education ↓ risk

Chen et al. 2022 [14]

Retrospective

340 PCI for AMI + ESRD on hemodialysis

Compare risk scores for ischemic/bleeding outcomes in ESRD + AMI

TIMI-STEMI/NSTEMI, GRACE, DAPT, PRECISE-DAPT, CRUSADE, ACUITY, ACTION, SWEDEHEART

GRACE → ↑ ischemic prediction (AUC 0.791); PRECISE-DAPT → ↑ bleeding (AUC 0.636); GRACE >222 or PRECISE-DAPT >48 → ↑ NACE

Tonelli et al. 2013 [15]

Prospective cohort

836,060 adults (≥1 LDL-C, eGFR, proteinuria); no stage 5 CKD

Assess LDL-C association with MI risk by eGFR strata

LDL-C

LDL-C >4.9 mmol/L → ↑ MI risk; association ↓ with ↓ eGFR (HR 3.01 ≥90, 2.06 15-59.9 mL/min)

Sun et al. 2016 [16]

Prospective cohort

543 stage 5 CKD (199 CVD at baseline)

Compare 12 biomarkers for CVD/PEW/mortality prediction

Albumin, ferritin, hsCRP, IGF-1, IL-6, orosomucoid, TnT, TNF, sICAM, sVCAM-1, platelets, WBC

IL-6/sVCAM-1/albumin → CVD; IL-6/WBC/TNF → mortality; age/DM/smoking/PEW → CVD

Khan et al. 2006 [17]

Prospective

54 ambulatory CKD (no dialysis); median age 70

Evaluate NT-pro-BNP/BNP for CAD/LVH in asymptomatic CKD

NT-pro-BNP, BNP

NT-pro-BNP/BNP → ↑ with LVH/CAD (AUC 0.72-0.82); correlation R=0.74; → GFR (R=-0.45/-0.38)

Roumeliotis et al. 2019 [18]

Prospective cohort

142 DM2 + CKD patients

Assess cIMT as predictor of CV morbidity/mortality

cIMT, eGFR, albuminuria

cIMT >0.86 mm, low eGFR, albuminuria → ↑ all-cause mortality (HR 2.9) and CV events (HR 2.04)

Farshid et al. 2013 [19]

Prospective cohort

153 stage 4–5 CKD patients

Evaluate clinical/echocardiographic predictors of mortality/CV events

Diastolic dysfunction, troponin T, age, MI history

Diastolic dysfunction, troponin T, age >75, prior MI → ↑ mortality (P < 0.01)

McMurray et al. 2011 [20]

Prospective cohort

3,847 DM + CKD + anemia patients

Identify predictors of CV mortality/morbidity

NT-proBNP, troponin T, CRP, urine protein/creatinine ratio, ECG

NT-proBNP, troponin T, CRP, urine protein/creatinine ratio, abnormal ECG → ↑ CV events/mortality (HR 1.30-1.74)

Groop et al. 2009 [21]

Prospective cohort

4,201 T1DM patients

Identify predictors of premature mortality

Albuminuria, eGFR

Microalbuminuria, macroalbuminuria, ESRD → ↑ mortality (SMR 2.8-18.3); eGFR ↓ → ↑ mortality risk

Honda et al. 2022 [22]

Prospective cohort

461 asymptomatic DM patients

Assess CKD impact on silent myocardial ischemia (SMI) and outcomes

eGFR, urinary albumin

CKD stages 3–5, low eGFR, albuminuria → ↑ SMI (26.2% vs 7.3%) and MACCE (P = 0.009)

Peng et al. 2024 [23]

Prospective cohort

19,906 non-DM CKD patients

Evaluate eGDR as predictor of CVD/mortality

eGDR

Higher eGDR → ↓ CVD (HR 0.641) and mortality (HR 0.592-0.803)

Ye et al. 2023 [24]

Retrospective cohort

639 CKD + CAD ICU patients

Explore TyG index association with mortality

TyG index

TyG index → ↑ in-hospital and 1-year mortality (nonlinear association)

Weldegiorgis et al. 2022 [25]

Prospective cohort

911,360 UK individuals

Assess lipid profiles and advanced CKD onset

TG, HDL-C, LDL-C, TC

High TG, low HDL-C → ↑ CKD stages 4–5 (HR 1.27-1.28); LDL-C, TC → no association

Chen et al. 2024 [26]

Prospective cohort

3,089 CKD patients

Evaluate TyG-BMI index and mortality

TyG-BMI index

U-shaped TyG-BMI → ↑ all-cause/CVD mortality; thresholds 299.31 (all-cause), 294.85 (CVD)

Kim et al. 2021 [27]

Retrospective cohort

3,634,873 individuals (66,805 advanced CKD)

Explore lipid profiles as predictors of CVD/mortality

TG/HDL-C, LDL-C

TG/HDL-C → ↑ MACCEs/mortality (linear); LDL-C → ↑ MACCEs (linear), mortality (U-shaped)

Ou et al. 2025 [28]

Prospective cohort

5,723/5,847 CKM stage 0–3 patients

Assess CTI for CVD/mortality prediction

CTI (CRP, TG, glucose)

CTI → ↑ CVD (nonlinear) and all-cause mortality (linear, HR 2.11/unit)

Chang et al. 2017 [29]

Prospective cohort

50,673 incident hemodialysis patients

Assess TG/HDL-C ratio with mortality

TG/HDL-C ratio

High TG/HDL-C → ↓ all-cause/CV mortality (HR 0.77-0.91)

Sonmez et al. 2015 [30]

Retrospective cohort

197 CKD stage 1–5 patients

Evaluate TG/HDL-C ratio for CVD outcomes

TG/HDL-C, ADMA, PTH, eGFR

TG/HDL-C >3.29 → ↑ CV events (HR 1.36); ADMA, DM → ↑ CVD risk

MI: Myocardial Infarction; CV: Cardiovascular; AUC: Area Under The Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve; NT-Probnp: N-Terminal Pro-Brain Natriuretic Peptide; BNP: Brain Natriuretic Peptide; Supar: Soluble Urokinase Plasminogen Activator Receptor; CRP: C-Reactive Protein; Cimt: Carotid Intima-Media Thickness; Egfr: Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate; DM2: Diabetes Mellitus Type 2; LVEF: Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction; SMI: Silent Myocardial Ischemia; MACCE: Major Adverse Cardiac And Cerebrovascular Events; T1DM: Type 1 Diabetes Mellitus; ESRD: End-Stage Renal Disease; SMR: Standardized Mortality Ratio; Egdr: Estimated Glucose Disposal Rate; Tyg: Triglyceride Glucose Index; CAD: Coronary Artery Disease; ICU: Intensive Care Unit; TG: Triglycerides; HDL-C: High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol; LDL-C: Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol; TC: Total Cholesterol; CTI: C-Reactive Protein-Triglyceride-Glucose Index; CKM: Cardiovascular–Kidney–Metabolic Syndrome; ADMA: Asymmetric Dimethyl Arginine; PTH: Parathyroid Hormone; FMD: Flow-Mediated Vasodilatation; HR: Hazard Ratio; PCI: Percutaneous Coronary Intervention; AMI: Acute Myocardial Infarction; NACE: Net Adverse Clinical Events; TIMI: Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction; DAPT: Dual Antiplatelet Therapy; PRECISE-DAPT: Predicting Bleeding Complications In Patients Undergoing Stent Implantation And Subsequent Dual Antiplatelet Therapy; CRUSADE: Can Rapid Risk Stratification Of Unstable Angina Patients Suppress Adverse Outcomes With Early Implementation; ACUITY: Acute Catheterization And Urgent Intervention Triage Strategy; ACTION: Acute Coronary Treatment And Intervention Outcomes Network; SWEDEHEART: Swedish Web-System For Enhancement And Development Of Evidence-Based Care In Heart Disease Evaluated According To Recommended Therapies.

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